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Speech delivered at the "Forum
on Development Strategies of Modern Dongcheng District of Beijing in the
21st Century" in the Tianlun Dynasty Hotel, on 11 May 2001 (During the
4th Beijing International High-Tech Industries Week)
By: Gilbert Van Kerckhove
President China Strategy Limited
Advisor to the Beijing International Investment Promotion Council
Adviser to the Belgian Minister for Foreign Trade
The speech was later translated in Chinese and published by the Dongcheng
Administration.

Respected Leaders, Ladies
and Gentlemen,
With 20 years of experience with Dongcheng
District it's for me a special honor to talk today, but also a challenge.
In the middle of 1980 I was offered a position with a Belgian company
to open their office in Beijing and to manage the project of the YAOMENG
Power Plant in Pingdingshan, Henan. It was the first soft loan granted
to China after its opening to the outside world.
A Belgian friend told me: "Gilbert, don't go to China, you will get
crazy". When I arrived here for the first time in December 1980 I
indeed discovered a challenging environment. Crazy or not - twenty years
later I am still here.
So why the challenge in addressing this meeting? Because Dongcheng suggested
to explain what makes a world city successful. It seemed a fairly simple
topic but actually it turned out to be rather complex.
We could immediately sum up a list of obvious criteria such as:
- urban transport and traffic
- telecommunication
- environment
- pollution
- cost of life and doing business
But are those really that important? Is
it really what motivates the final choice? When we look at the success
or lack of it of certain cities we have to admit it is not that simple.
Look at traffic: is it good in New York, Paris and London? Certainly not.
Is cost a major factor? In a recent study, the top office markets in terms
of cost are London, Tokyo, Hong Kong, San Francisco, Paris, Zurich and
New York.
Can we call the environment pleasant in Manhattan, Las Vegas, Hong Kong,
and Taipei? We could argue a lot about it. There are certainly more pleasant
cities to live in, so why do people not go there to set up their business?
I made a study in the eighties comparing cities to set up an Asian headquarter.
At that time Kuala Lumpur seemed quite attractive. So why did it not live
up to its promise? Why did the dream of creating the Multimedia Super
Corridor not become true? Already 4 billion dollar was spent but results
are disappointing.
Some indications:
- climate of insecurity for foreign investment
and their profits
- many protectionist rules and government
interference for foreign exchange, employment, business
- many restrictions on the flow of information.
- poor living environment in the Corridor
- poor telecom and Internet infrastructure
in Kuala Lumpur
Let's have a look at another famous city - Singapore. A study published
in January and partly financed by the government brought some disturbing
results. By many measures it is one of the most globalized and Internet-ready
countries. It has a good environment of supporting policies and regulations.
But Singapore was ranked near the bottom in getting people to create business
ventures. Entrepreneurship and innovation were found to be lacking. Singapore
is now looking how to address the problem. Some of the causes analysts
see:
- too many restrictions of the free flow
of information
- too many rules and laws interfering
with creativity, information and private life
- too much fear to fail when setting up
new ventures.
Recently Germany tried to create a new financial
center within Europe, to be a second pole at the level of London.
It basically failed. Why? Because of the long tradition of London being
a financial center, the wealth of contacts, the spirit of entrepreneurship,
more relaxed rules and regulations for business and lower taxes. And a
city known for its international spirit, creativity and innovation. It
showed more is needed than just the wish of a government to succeed.
The Cyberport project in Hong Kong is another example. Critics point at
the way the project was awarded without real competition and say that
instead of being a real boost for the Information Technology industry,
it is not much more than a big real estate deal.
Asia has some successful examples of new "Silicone Valleys"
such as Hsinchu Park in Taiwan and Hitec City in Hyderabad, India.
I went back to the paper I delivered at
a seminar in Shanghai in May 1999 where I talked about private companies
in China. I think some of the criteria discussed at that time seem relevant.
Why do entrepreneurs rush to New York, San Francisco, London, and Hong
Kong? I think the reason is simple. They know they have the possibility
to realize their dreams and succeed. As people say about New York: "If
you're not good you don't eat. If you are very good you can get rich".
So, business is ready to accept high costs and other negative factors
as long as the final result of being there is tempting.
Why do companies set up operations in Beijing today? To be fair, not as
an Asian headquarter or as the place where innovation and profits can
lead to spectacular results - like in Silicon Valley. At least not yet.
Only Shanghai is starting to be considered as a headquarter for Asia.
In Beijing, most companies come because they cannot miss the Chinese market.
Shanghai is certainly an example for Beijing on how to transform an old
and inefficient city into a world center of the 21st Century.
Now a word of optimism. China and Beijing
are both changing at a high speed and when I have doubts like "never
in Beijing" or "Beijing will need 50 years" I stop and
go back in time. That means 20 years for me.
In the early eighties, being a foreigner in Beijing was not easy.
You could say, well, that's history. I think it's important to look back
sometimes and see how life was then. If somebody would have told me in
1981, look, Beijing will be as we know it today, I sure would have replied
it was all impossible and China would need some fifty years. We should
keep that in mind. In a not so distant future we could see more tremendous
changes and I should then have to completely review my analysis of today.
So let's go back in time to 1981.
Problems started trying to book a room.
Everybody wanted to stay in the Beijing Hotel, the best place to work,
sleep and eat.
Rooms could not be booked directly at the hotels. One had to go through
a special service bureau to put down the request. And some day you would
be told, if you were lucky, in which hotel you could have a room.
I was lucky and got a single room at the Beijing Hotel where I was a guest
for over six years, living through successive renovations that gradually
made it the top hotel as we know it today.
There were no office buildings and no apartments - we only had hotel rooms.
For several months my bedroom was also the office.
Forget about office furniture, a fridge in the room. I was not allowed
to bring in anything.
Privacy did not exist. We called it a "fishbowl existence":
the Chinese staff would monitor every move of our life and we would have
little information about the outside world.
Normal Chinese were not allowed in our hotels, neither in the Friendship
Store. Private contacts between foreigners and Chinese were, the least
to say, "not encouraged".
After 8 pm it was hard to find a place to have a beer, if anything.
So when the first international hotel opened in 1982, the JIANGUO, we
were all admiring the bar - the first real one in Beijing. How wonderful!
Shopping was also quite different from today.
The main shopping street was Wanfujing, a narrow and crowded street with
gloomy stores filled with little but outdated products. The sales staff
would consider the customer as a disturbance.
Supermarkets and self-service did not exist. Everybody told me, Chinese
would never accept that because it was against their culture.
Placing an overseas call was a headache. You had to book hours in advance
and if the number was busy, well bad luck. Try another time. The main
communication was through the old-fashioned telex machine. I even mastered
the skill to "communicate online" through the telex with the
secretary in Belgium. Not exactly your "Yahoo Messenger"...
Maybe some of you cannot imagine those stories.
What a difference today! Visitors who return to Beijing after a long time
find it also hard to believe. First-time visitors are much surprised to
discover Beijing as they still imagine the city being from another century.
Wangfujing is now a modern commercial street with shops and offices that
can compete with any major city. Today you can find about anything in
Beijing, including the most modern products. And of course the latest
fashion! In the shops sales people rush to you, are helpful and do their
best to sell their products.
So, when I have my moments of doubts, wondering where China is going,
if China will further open up, if China will continue its unique progress,
I just stop to think back, to remember some difficult moments of the past
twenty years. It makes me feel confident nothing is going to stop China's
opening and development.
Let's go back to the factors to make a city
successful and how Beijing and Dongcheng District can learn from others.
Three factors:
- Anyone with talent and energy has access
to financial resources
- Financing and funding is available because
there is confidence that serious profits are possible when the business
is right.
- Companies are strong because they are
good, not because they are protected.
Today it is not possible to make an in-depth
analysis so let me give some examples and highlights, without trying to
be complete.
There must be room for innovation
and creativity.
- People should be allowed and have
the right environment to come up with new ideas and try them out,
and even fail.
- That means flexibility to create a company
in various fields without excess regulation and bureaucracy from the
government. That also means that there are fewer restrictions on the
movement and employment of skilled people including foreigners.
- Unfortunately, today laws and regulations
are too restrictive and are often not applied through "the rule
of the law" as we call it.
- Let's not forget that "private company"
is a concept that only recently became accepted in China and still suffers
from serious discrimination.
- A good example is Las Vegas, a city
in the middle of nowhere, in the desert, and with a difficult climate.
But the State of Nevada drafted the most business-friendly laws and
as a result the city has boomed with new companies - not only with gambling.
Easy and affordable access to information
and communications:
- The Internet service is still a source
of frustration for people like me who use it as a tool for business.
Speeds are slow, some websites are blocked without any reason. International
bandwidth is way too small.
- We hope new Internet regulations will
boost commercial applications.
- On the other hand the competition between
telecom operators is showing results. Just look how prices came down
for domestic long-distance and international calls.
- Interesting to note is, few people complain
about making international calls; it is now so easy we just take it
for granted. My experience is that voice and fax communication is here
often better than in many developed countries.
Funding:
- The banking sector and the lack of venture
capital are still seriously limiting the growth of business, especially
for Chinese entrepreneurs
- Real venture capital and angel funding
practically do not exist.
- We are far from a stockmarket that is
a real tool to raise new funds. No NASDAQ here...
Profits:
- As said, business does not mind
high costs as long as profits compensate. Finally, we are here to make
money. And so do the Chinese. Worldwide the Chinese people are famous
for being the best entrepreneurs, so why not here?
- We still face high costs, often hidden
expenses as well as high and sometimes unfair taxes. Also housing for
foreigners is still quite expensive.
- As a result, while China is said to be
cheap, running an office in Beijing is still expensive, especially for
small and medium companies.
I will stop here. If I sounded a bit harsh,
well, as I said, looking back we should be confident!
Before concluding, some words
about "my Dongcheng District", so to speak. I started here in
1981. Years later, in 1995, when I had to buy a home in Beijing, it was
straightforward for me to settle in Dongcheng. Simply because for me it
is the heart of Beijing, the heart of China. It is a convenient location,
where business, shopping, culture, history and entertainment are all within
reach. I think that's important for business. Dongcheng is not just a
collection of boring office buildings - it's a district with a vibrant
life combining work and leisure. Of course nothing is perfect. But what
counts is the concern of the District authorities for constant improvement.
And being receptive for constructive comments. I am confident Dongcheng
District will continue to develop at the same fast pace as in the past
two decades and will be a more and more advanced urban center. So I would
say, if you are not here yet, better hurry before it's too late. And if
one day you feel sorry to have missed your chance, well, I told you so...
Wishing Dongcheng District a great progress in the 21st Century and successful
Olympic Games, I close here and thank you for your attention!
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